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Posts Tagged ‘CME Group’

Platinum margin requirements history on the NYMEX

The Comex is owned and operated by the CME Group, which acquired the NYMEX in 2008. The CME Group sets platinum margin requirements based on volatility in the futures market. The more frothy the markets, the higher the CME sets margin requirements. Here’s a full list of the changes to Tier 1 platinum margin requirements for NYMEX platinum futures contracts since 2009:

Jan. 12, 2009

Initial: $3,025
Maintenance: $2,750

April 15, 2009

Initial: $6,600
Maintenance: $6,000

June 26, 2009

Initial: $4,950
Maintenance: $4,500

June 29, 2009

Initial: $1,100
Maintenance: $1,000

April 30, 2010

Initial: $3,850
Maintenance: $3,500

June 7, 2010

Initial: $5,500
Maintenance: $5,000

Sept. 2, 2010

Initial: $4,125
Maintenance: $3,750

Nov. 16, 2010

Initial: $4,950
Maintenance: $4,500

May 31, 2011

Initial: $3,850
Maintenance: $3,500

Oct. 4, 2011

Initial: $4,950
Maintenance: $4,500

Feb. 13, 2012

Initial: $3,850
Maintenance: $3,500

Source.

Related

Gold margin requirements history on the COMEX

The Comex is owned and operated by the CME Group, which acquired the Comex on August 22, 2008. The CME Group sets gold margin requirements based on volatility in the futures market. The more frothy the markets, the higher the CME sets margin requirements. Here’s a full list of the changes to Tier 1 gold margin requirements for COMEX 100 gold futures contracts since 2009:

Jan. 8, 2009

Initial: $5,807.70
Maintenance: $4,302

Jan. 22, 2009

Initial: $5,398.65
Maintenance: $3,999

Aug. 21, 2009

Initial: $4,499.55
Maintenance: $3,333

Dec. 15, 2009

Initial: $5,402.70
Maintenance: $4,002

Feb. 12, 2010

Initial: $6,747.30
Maintenance: $4,998

April 30, 2010

Initial: $5,738.85
Maintenance: $4,251

Nov. 16, 2010

Initial: $6,075
Maintenance: $4,500

Jan. 21, 2011

Initial: $6,751.35
Maintenance: $5,001

June 20, 2011

Initial: $6,075
Maintenance: $4,500

Aug. 11, 2011

Initial: $7,425
Maintenance: $5,500

Aug. 25, 2011

Initial: $9,450
Maintenance: $7,000

Sept. 26, 2011

Initial: $11,475
Maintenance: $8,500

Feb. 13, 2012

Initial: $10,125
Maintenance: $7,500

Source.

Related

Silver margin requirements history on the COMEX

The Comex is owned and operated by the CME Group, which acquired the Comex on August 22, 2008. The CME Group sets silver margin requirements based on volatility in the futures market. The more frothy the markets, the higher the CME sets margin requirements. Here’s a full list of the changes to Tier 1 silver margin requirements for the COMEX’s 5,000-ounce silver futures contract since 2009:

Jan. 8, 2009

Initial: $8,640
Maintenance: $6,400

Jan. 22, 2009

Initial: $8,100
Maintenance: $6,000

May 28, 2009

Initial: $9,450
Maintenance: $7,000

June 26, 2009

Initial: $8,100
Maintenance: $6,000

Aug. 21, 2009

Initial: $5,400
Maintenance: $4,000

Dec. 15, 2009

Initial: $6,075
Maintenance: $4,500

Feb. 12, 2010

Initial: $6,750
Maintenance: $5,000

April 30, 2010

Initial: $5,737.50
Maintenance: $4,250

June 7, 2010

Initial: $6,750
Maintenance: $5,000

Nov. 11, 2010

Initial: $8,775
Maintenance: $6,500

Nov. 16, 2010

Initial: $9,787.50
Maintenance: $7,250

Dec. 17, 2010

Initial: $10,462.50
Maintenance: $7,750

Jan. 21, 2011

Initial: $11,137.50
Maintenance: $8,250

March 25, 2011

Initial: $11,745
Maintenance: $8,700

April 26, 2011

Initial: $12,825
Maintenance: $9,500

April 29, 2011

Initial: $14,512.50
Maintenance: $10,750

May 3, 2011

Initial: $16,200
Maintenance: $12,000

May 5, 2011

Initial: $18,900
Maintenance: $14,000

May 9, 2011

Initial: $21,600
Maintenance: $16,000

Sept. 26, 2011

Initial: $24,975
Maintenance: $18,500

Feb. 13, 2012

Initial: $21,600
Maintenance: $16,000

April 16, 2012

Initial: $18,900
Maintenance: $14,000

Source.

Related

CME Group takes ax to silver margin requirements, again

At the close of business on April 16, 2012, the CME Group will lower margin requirements for the second time since February. COMEX 500 silver futures will drop by 12.5 percent to $18,900 per contract from $21,600, and the maintenance margin will be lowered to $14,000 from $16,000 per contract.

Less volatility means less risk, so the CME’s letting investors ratchet up the risk in their trading accounts. And yet, margins may still have room to fall.

“The margins are still relatively high compared to a year ago,” Nick Trevethan, senior commodity strategist at ANZ in Singapore, told MineWeb last week. “If we see volatility continue to decrease, there may be more scope for margin cuts.”

Last year, the CME controversially raised margins five times by a total of 84 percent – and they did it over the course of a few weeks between late April and early May. That helps push silver prices down 30 percent. Now, they’re trying to lure investors back into the silver market.

They’re doing it in the palladium and copper markets as well. Copper investors, in particular, are getting a big break. The CME announced that they’re cutting rates for the red metal by 20 percent to $5,400 per contract, and the new maintenance margin will be $4,000.

Related

Copper margin requirements history on the COMEX

The Comex is owned and operated by the CME Group, which acquired the Comex on August 22, 2008. The CME Group sets copper margin requirements based on volatility in the futures market. The more frothy the markets, the higher the CME sets margin requirements. Here’s a full list of the changes to copper margin requirements for COMEX copper futures contracts since 2009:

Jan. 8, 2009

Initial: $7,762.50
Maintenance: $5,750

Aug. 21, 2009

Initial: $6,075
Maintenance: $4,500

Dec. 15, 2009

Initial: $4,725
Maintenance: $3,500

April 30, 2010

Initial: $5,737.50
Maintenance: $4,250

June 7, 2010

Initial: $6,750
Maintenance: $5,000

Sept. 2, 2010

Initial: $5,400
Maintenance: $4,000

Dec. 17, 2010

Initial: $6,412.50
Maintenance: $4,750

Jan. 21, 2011

Initial: $5,737.50
Maintenance: $4,250

Sept. 26, 2011

Initial: $6,750
Maintenance: $5,000

Oct. 4, 2011

Initial: $7,762.50
Maintenance: $5,750

Feb. 13, 2012

Initial: $6,750
Maintenance: $5,000

Source.

Related

When will we see silver prices at $50 oz. again? Sooner than you might think…

With gold hovering just 5 percent off its all-time record high, silver’s been quietly trading in the shadows some 20 percent away from its all-time record high. The white metal appears to be gaining momentum, though, after a precipitous price collapse in May.

This spring’s silver price collapse followed a surge in silver prices to a brand new nominal record high around $50 an ounce. As soon as the white metal took out that milestone, the selling started and it didn’t stop until silver prices had shed more than $18 an ounce. That was good for a 36 percent plunge in eight days!

Since then, the metal’s been in consolidation mode, and most investors have focused on silver’s yellow cousin gold. Gold’s spent the past two-and-a-half months on an absolute tear rising from $1,500 an ounce on June 27 to just shy of $1,900 an ounce in recent trading. That’s a gain of more than 26 percent.

The CME has taken note of the volatility in gold prices and raised margin requirements for gold futures trading on the Comex. If you’ll recall, the CME starting doing the same thing when silver prices collapsed this spring.

There’s lots for investors to be nervous about, and that’s pushed them into precious metals. One of the more interesting facets of investing in gold and silver, though, is watching how investor sentiment shifts from one metal to the other then back again.

Right before silver prices collapsed earlier this year, I wrote a post suggesting it was time for investors to switch from silver to gold. Now, it’s looking like it might be time to do the opposite.

As of this writing, the silver:gold ratio stands at 44:1. This spring it fell as low at 30:1, and Eric Sprott was calling for a ratio as low as 10:1. The historical average rests somewhere around 65:1, but I don’t think we’re going to get that high for several reasons:

1) The silver price collapse was partly based on psychology. When silver broker its all-time record nominal high, everyone and their cousin felt like it was time to take profits off the table. Once the big fish started doing that, smaller traders panicked and the bottom fell out on prices. The good news is this: that $50 an ounce psychological barrier has been wiped out. Where we go from here is anyone’s guess.

2) 25+ percent in a month. When silver prices bubbled up in April, the cost of the metal rose 30 percent in just over a month. In recent trading gold shot up more than 25 percent in roughly the same time span. A gain of 25 percent in a month is too good to be true for institutional investors. They’ve got to lock in those gains, even it means taking some profits off the table.

3) Frothy futures. The easiest and most obvious sign that a market’s getting frothy is when an exchange raises margin requirements on trading for a particular commodity. As I noted above, we saw that happen to silver in the spring, and we’re seeing it happen to gold right now. The CME Group has a vested interest in protecting itself from losses. When it raises margin requirements, it does so because it sees the writing on the wall: the market’s getting too frothy to safely lend cash to metals speculators.

For me, gold’s looking frothy right now, and silver appears poised to go higher; perhaps even pushing through that $50 an ounce barrier again.

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Gold prices take biggest plunge in 30 years; CME hikes gold margin requirements

Gold bullion prices collapsed more than $100 an ounce yesterday. According to Reuters, that’s the largest single-day drop in nominal dollars since 1980, and the largest one-day percentage drop (at more than 4 percent) since 2008.

Markets are jumpy right now. Investors are positioning themselves for an announcement from Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke on Friday morning. Bernanke will speak from his annual pow-wow with several others central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. While many were anticipating Bernanke would announce more economic stimulus (just as he did last year after the Jackson Hole meeting), that notion seems to have gained a lot less traction in recent days. That’s lent some strength to an otherwise ailing dollar and pushed investors into riskier trades – particularly equities.

One trader told Bloomberg that he started getting really nervous about gold prices when he heard that the total value of the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:GLD) had surpassed the value of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY). SPY’s been the world’s largest ETF since 1993. Seeing it kicked to the No. 2 slot in favor of gold was a sign that perhaps stocks were underbought.

When it rains, it pours

The CME Group doused even more water on the price of gold after it announced late last night that it was raising gold margin requirements 27 percent after trading on Aug. 24. The move follows a 22 percent margin requirements hike on Aug. 11. If gold prices bounce back after today’s collapse, I wouldn’t rule out even higher margin requirements.

When the CME started raising margin requirements on silver this spring, they didn’t stop until the market had given up a month’s worth of gains. During one nine-day period late in April, the CME raised silver margin requirements by 84 percent.

One of the big drivers for equities yesterday, and a downward force on gold prices were better than expected numbers on durable goods orders. Orders for things like airplanes, automobiles and business equipment rose 4 percent last month. That was more than twice as much as expected. And that bit of good news overshadowed the bad: namely, that business spending fell 1.5 percent last month. That’s the biggest decline in corporate outflows since January, and it’s an indication that businesses started tightening the reins on their pocketbooks over fears of a double-dip recession.

The arguments for investing in gold (reference my post “Why invest in gold“) have gotten an added boost thanks to inflation not just in the U.S. but around the world. The Swiss Central Bank has even considered pegging its currency to the Euro so its export market can remain competitive. That leaves few safe havens for investors and it’s even pushed up the value of U.S. treasuries in the wake of a downgrade for U.S. debt. Investors invest not just to make money, but to protect the capital they’ve already accumulated. With the dollar expected to remain weak through at least 2013 (when the Fed may begin raising interest rates from historic lows), I don’t think we’ve seen the last of the gold story. This is just a temporary bump in the road.

How to short gold with ETFs

ETFs make it easy to bet against the yellow metal. Investors can short the flagship SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:GLD) (which would have been good for a 3.3 percent gain yesterday), or go long on the PowerShares DB Gold Double Short ETN (NYSE:DZZ), which spiked 10.3 percent yesterday. GLD holds physical gold deposits in a London bank, while DZZ attempts to return twice the inverse of the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index. If the index goes down, DZZ should go up twice as much as the index’s decline.

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Rally in gold prices could still have legs

In case you haven’t noticed, the gold market is starting to feel frothy. Over the past month, the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSE:GLD) has risen more than 18 percent while the Dow Jones Industrial Average has tumbled 14 percent.

In a sign of the times, the SPDR Gold Trust actually surpassed the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY) to become the world’s largest ETF yesterday (per USAToday). GLD’s now holding some $78 billion in gold in a London vault, while SPY’s holding $77 billion in paper assets.

Gold bugs have to be getting jittery, even as they watch the value of their favorite commodity scream higher. Why? Gold just might be going parabolic, and anything that goes parabolic is doomed for a collapse (no matter how short-lived).

The same thing happened six months ago in the silver market when silver prices rocketed up more than 30 percent from roughly the end of April to the end of May. A series of new silver margin requirements from the CME was widely blamed as causing silver prices to crash.

Now, investors are starting to look at their watches and guess when the same thing’s going to happen to gold. I’m not ready to be a bear yet, though, and here are three reasons why:

1) Seduced by silver prices. I was thinking gold prices were getting over-heated until I look at the chart for the iShares Silver Trust ETF (NYSE:SLV). In April, the run-up in silver prices made gold’s current spike look paltry. In the span of 30 days, silver shot up 30 percent.

By contrast, gold has risen a mere 18 percent over the past month. If bullion is indeed going parabolic, we could be right in the middle of the most powerful part of the upward thrust. We’ve got to be careful, though. Silver more than made up for its rise by giving up all its gains in five short days. That’s a plunge of 6 percent per day!

2) Margin calls anyone? The CME took the brunt of the blame for cooling the silver market after issuing a series of vicious margin hikes when the market got overheated. During a nine-day span at the end of April, CME raised silver margins by 84 percent (per the Wall Street Journal). Two weeks ago, they started in on the margin requirements for gold raising them 22 percent on Aug. 11. CME also hinted more hikes could be imminent for gold, but still, we’re a long way from the 84 percent hike we saw for gold’s white cousin.

3) Timing is everything. Gold prices will likely remain strong through the end of the week as investors await an announcement from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. He’s hashing over ideas with some of the world’s most powerful bankers at the annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, right now, and he’ll make some sort of announcement on Friday morning.

Last year’s gathering brought us QEII, of course, and some are betting there’s going to be even more quantitative easing on the horizon as the banking elite look for ways to keep the ship afloat. If that happens, expect lots of fireworks in the financial markets. I’m just not sure if it’s going to be good for gold, but I know better than to argue with a trend until its broken. Friday might be the breaking point, but I’m at least bullish until then. And if gold prices do indeed fall, I’ll look for ways to add more to my portfolio in the rocky months to come.

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Why does the CME Group raise silver margin requirements?

One of the most interesting storylines in the collapse of silver prices this week comes from the small confines of the silver futures market. Here’s the question: did the dramatic hikes in silver margin requirements by the CME Group lead to or worsen the fall in silver prices?

To answer that chicken-and-egg question, we’ve got to understand why the CME Group adjusts silver margin requirements in the first place. To put it bluntly: they do it to protect their own interests. Any sign of froth or increased volatility in the silver futures market potentially exposes the CME Group to losses.

When investors buy a silver futures contract on the NYMEX, they’re doing it with substantial credit (also known as “margin”) that’s funded by the CME Group. When volatility spikes, the CME Group takes on more risk since rapid price changes could lead to dramatic losses for their clients. If the losses are too large, investors may not be able to pay back the money they borrowed from the CME Group.

Since the start of the year, we’ve watched silver prices surge from $30 to nearly $50 an ounce. During that time, the CME Group has been forced to raise margin requirements on the NYMEX 5 times. Last week, margin hikes and announcements of upcoming hikes got particularly aggressive. Initial rates went from $14,513 to $16,200 on May 2, and they’ll climb again to $21,600 at the close of business on May 9. To put that in perspective, it cost less than $5,000 a year ago to buy a silver futures contract controlling 5,000 ounces of silver.

Of course, it makes sense that the higher the price of silver, the more it should cost to buy rights to 5,000 ounces of the metal. What’s got a lot of investors upset, though, is the pace and scope of the increases. Apparently, the CME Group felt the need to explain itself, too. Kim Tyler, president of CME Clearing, went on the record with the Wall Street Journal arguing that the new margin requirements had little or nothing to do with the change in silver prices.

“We try to make changes in a way that we can telegraph to the market, so that participants have notice. We try to be routine and predictable and provide no surprises,” she told the paper. However, that “notice” has frequently been as short as 24 hours, giving investors little time to re-balance their portfolios. That generally forces the weaker positions out of the market. And when volatility is high, that selling could lead other investors to jump ship, too.

The margin hikes by the CME Group may be getting unfairly maligned, though. It’s clear the NYMEX needs to protect its interests, too. And there’s an ever-growing array of paper investments in the silver market (i.e. ETFs) that make prices in the small silver market more volatile than they otherwise would be. We can’t know for sure that the CME’s changes provided the spark that set off the silver powder keg, but once the ball got rolling downhill, there was little the CME could have done (or avoided) to stop the plunge in prices.

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