All signs appear to be pointing to a bull market in metals as gold finished off a remarkable August, where it surged from $1,180 to $1,245 per ounce. Silver’s ride was less consistent. The metal rose from $18 to just under $19 per ounce, but it did most of it’s moving in the last week of the month.
With inflation fears held at bay by fear of a double-dip recession, you would think that investors would have give up on precious metals all together, but that’s not the case. Gold’s chart (see below) looks like it’s in the heart of a trend that will likely steepen once inflation becomes a reality.
That brings us to one of my favorite stocks: Silvercorp Metals Inc. (NYSE:SVM). Trading at a P/E ratio of 26.85, Silvercorp would be appropriately valued if the threat of inflation didn’t appear to be around the corner. Throw that in the mix, and the Chinese metal producer could look like it’s trading at bargain prices a year from now. Indeed, the stock was recently upgraded by BMO Capital Markets, and it looks and heads and shoulders better than its competitors Silver Wheaton Corp. (NYSE:SLW), which is trading at a P/E of 42 and Pan American Silver Corp. (NASDAQ:PAAS), which is trading at a P/E of 28.
Even better than the upgrade? Silvercorp’s gross profit surged to $26.5 million in the quarter ending June 30. That’s better than the company has done in the past four quarters, and the stock maintained its dividend of $0.02 per share. That’s good for a 1 percent yield on top of any appreciation the stock might see. If inflation does hit, expect to see this stock around its May peak of just under $9 per share.