In what’s shaping up to be the largest U.S. Internet IPO since Google, Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG), the Amazon of China, Jingdong Mall has announced plans to go public. Jingdong publishes 360Buy.com, the 120th most-visited Web site in the world. That’s a far cry from Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), which is ranked by stats-tracking company Alexa.com as the 15th most-visited Web site in the world. 360Buy’s got momentum on its side, though, and that makes me bullish on the stock. Here are three reasons you should consider investing in 360Buy.com when the company IPOs next year:
1) Growth potential. China’s internet population (at 485 million+) exceeds the entire population of the U.S., and that number is expected to triple to 1.5 billion by 2015. That will make the leading e-commerce site in Asia an international powerhouse. Amazon.com currently gets 6.8 times as much traffic as 360Buy.com. But I wouldn’t be surprised to see 360Buy.com overtake Amazon. Not only will the China’s internet population dwarf that of the United States, but the country’s still in the early stages of e-commerce adoption. Last year, online sales in China rose 77 percent (per FT.com).
2) Not to be confused with Taobao.com. Taobao may get significantly more traffic than 360Buy.com, but it’s important to note that they have different business models. Taobao’s a consumer-to-consumer e-commerce site that’s more akin to eBay than Amazon. While eBay garnered more traffic than Amazon in the early years of the Web, that trend has since reversed itself. Expect the same pattern to unfold in China as consumers turn to the Web not just for hard-to-find items and collectibles but for everything from jackets to diapers and laptops (all of which 360Buy.com offers).
JingDong is, indisputably, the largest business-to-consumer e-commerce site. And it’s purest competition comes in the form of E-Commerce China Dangdang, Inc. (NYSE:DANG). DangDang, which IPO’d to much fanfare in December, has since lost nearly 75 percent of its share price amid a rash of accounting scandals at several Chinese firms.
3) Revenue giant. Revenue at 360Buy.com is expected to hit $4.4 billion in 2011 (per RenaissanceCapital). That’s not much when compared with Amazon’s $40 billion, but it blows away DangDang.com, which will likely do somewhere in the neighborhood of $400 million.
Already, 360Buy.com processes some 300,000 orders per day from 25 million registered users. If the site can maintain its handhold at the top of China’s retail market, it should reward investors nicely in the years to come.