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Archive for the ‘earnings reports’ Category

Why Research in Motion (RIM) shares collapsed and where they’re heading next

It’s been bad news on top of bad news for the fabled maker of the Blackberry, Research In Motion Limited (NASDAQ:RIMM). After the market close yesterday, the company reporting earnings per share of $0.80. Analysts were expected $0.89 per share – a difference of about $47 million.

Investors have punished the stock in trading today pushing shares down 20 percent.

“I think RIM is very much at a tipping point here,” Jennifer Fritzsche, a former analyst at First Union Corp., told Bloomberg in a television interview. “(This) is the first year-over-year decline in shipments we’ve ever seen from this company. For a growth industry, that’s very atypical.”

Interviewers at Bloomberg asked Fritzsche bluntly if they thought RIM would be in business two years from now. “I think there’s a place for RIM,” she said. “But the biggest issue I have is how they’re going to be able to support essentially two operating systems: Blackberry 7 and the new system that they continue to allude to (QNX) coming possibly early next year.”

Two competing operating systems could alienate outside developers, which are essential for offering consumers a wide range of third-party apps. From games to productivity software, the availability of apps can influence consumer decisions when they’re picking out a phone. That’s part of what has made Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone so successful, and it’s becoming harder and harder for new operating systems to compete with thriving app marketplace for the iOS and Google’s (GOOG) Android.

Revenue plummeted 10 percent at RIM on sluggish sales of smartphones and tablets. Indeed, the company shipped just 10.6 million phones and 200,000 tablets. Analysts had expected the company to ship 11.8 million phones and more than half a million tablets.

Of course, much of the problem with RIM’s tablet – the PlayBook – stems from the fact that it just didn’t feel complete when it was launched. The tablet doesn’t have built-in email, calendar or contacts software, and it doesn’t run outside apps like Netflix.

Co-CEO Mike Lazaridis says that will all change next month when RIM pushes out a software update. Users will then be able to install Android apps on their PlayBooks, and that might be enough to give sales a big bump.

Still, some worry that the company’s losing relevance in a world increasingly dominated by Apple and Google. “RIM is on a path to becoming a niche player,” Ted Schadler, an analyst for Forrester Research Inc., told Bloomberg. “It has to focus on what about its products make them different or better than Apple or Google products.”

A niche player can still make money, but it’s not going to give investors outsize gains. That’s why RIM’s shares are down more than 58 percent YTD. If the company can stop shedding marketshare in the months to come, it could very well start looking like a value play. In fact, shares are currently trading at a P/E of just 3.8! Compare that to Google’s 19.6 and Apple’s 15.8. RIM just needs a product that looks ahead, not one that’s hastily thrown to market like the PlayBook.

The company has an air of panic about it right now, and that’s got investors panicking, too. If we all take a deep breath, though, it’s clear the RIM story isn’t over yet. The company still has the third most popular smartphone in the country, and it’s generating sales of more than $4 billion a quarter. They need a Hail Mary to stay afloat, but they’ve done it in the past, and I wouldn’t count them down and out quite yet.

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SINA’s Twitter-like Weibo service proves bright spot in earnings report (SINA)

SINA Corporation’s (NASDAQ:SINA) Q4 earnings report wasn’t warmly embraced by investors. Shares were down more than 5 percent in after-hours trading last night. Still, SINA’s Twitter-like Weibo service (pronounced Way-Bwah) proved a bright spot. Interest in Weibo helped push up traffic and online ad revenues for the site’s parent company SINA by 30 percent to $82.5 million in the quarter.

Weibo’s total number of users also soared, doubling to 100 million in just four months. “The firm has said Weibo will start generating revenue in the first half of 2011 via the sale of virtual items and advertising space,” Reuters reports.

“2010 has been a year of transformation for Sina,” Sina CEO Charles Chao said. Besides ad growth, “we have successfully built Sina microblog Weibo into the largest and most influential social media platform in China, with user base increasing by more than 25 times in 2010.”

SINA’s increasingly pitting the company’s future on the back of the micro-blogging service. Indeed, SINA plans to open Weibo up to outside developers in a bid to transform the company from an Internet portal to a social networking Internet platform that can tap outside app developers for growth and innovation.

The approach is similar to Facebook’s App platform, which has led to incredible growth for game development studios like Zynga (not to mention spiking valuations, pageviews and time-on-site for Facebook). So long as Weibo’s in-house censors are fast enough to keep the Chinese government happy, SINA’s $5 billion market cap could look laughably small one day. Twitter may have more users, but it isn’t backed by an Internet portal and it’s already got a valuation that’s nearing $4.5 billion. SINA’s best days may be yet to come.

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Tesla Q4 earnings preview (TSLA)

Valuing shares in a stock that’s yet to post a profit is like throwing darts at balloons at the carnival. You feel like you should be able to do it (and you can every now and then), but you’re going to lose a lot of money in the process. Still, this is what we know going into Tesla Motors Inc.’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) earnings report that’s due after trading hours on Tuesday:

1) An upside surprise. Tesla reported a loss of $0.38 per share in Q3. Analysts were calling for a wider loss of $0.43 per share. Revenue grew by $2.8 million last quarter, and investors were clearly cheered as the stock rose 40 percent on the news. Its since given back all those gains.

2) Another loss on the way. Analysts are calling for a loss of $0.50 per share in Q4. If we get another pleasant surprise (meaning the company’s frittered away less money than analysts thought), we’ll likely see another surge in the company’s share price.

3) Tax credits could boost the bottom line. Nothing concrete has happened yet, but the White House has floated the idea of offering a $7,500 tax incentive for electric vehicles. If such a measure passes, it will, undoubtedly, benefit Tesla, and that should have a positive impact on the stock.

4) Beautiful lines. Tesla’s Model S is gorgeous. I don’t care if you’re talking about gas, bio-diesel or propane-powered tractors, the Model S will be one of the sexiest vehicles on the road when it debuts next year. That should drive strong sales, even with an expected retail price around $57,000.

5) Share dilution anyone? Tesla’s pushing hard to get its third car, the hush-hush all-electric Model X SUV on roads by 2014, but they’re going to need a cash infusion to do it. “It could be a secondary [offering] or a strategic investment,” Tesla CEO Elon Musk said last week. “There is no shortage of interest.” If the company can surprise investors to the upside on Tuesday, a dilutive stock offering would be better received than it would on the heels of bad news. Maybe that’s their plan?

6) Keeping your enemies close. Rather than trying to strong-arm its way into the auto industry, Tesla has worked hard to position itself as a car maker and a parts supplier. Toyota gave Tesla a good deal on its sprawling NUMMI plant in California. In exchange, Tesla landed a gig as the power train supplier for Toyota’s RAV4 EV. If the RAV4 sells well, Tesla does well, too – meaning they’ll have more (much-needed) revenue to add to their balance sheet. The company has also forged partnerships as a battery supplier for the Mercedes A-Class and Freightliner trucks.

7) It’s not about the numbers. Tesla’s shares aren’t trading on dollars and cents; they’re trading on the assumption that one day the company will be making cash. No one expects a profit anytime soon. As the company adds more vehicles to its line (including a rumored “economy” car after its Model X SUV) and inks more deals as a supplier, expectations will start ratcheting up. Unless fuel prices magically start falling, though, I see no reason why Tesla won’t be able to compete with the world’s largest car companies in the years to come.

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Earnings report to offer glimpse behind curtain for SinoTech Energy Limited (CTE)

I’ve been watching SinoTech Energy Limited (NASDAQ:CTE) with interest since it’s ill-fated IPO on Nov. 4, 2010. It seems the company is the latest to fall victim to poorly-timed IPOs for ADRs of Chinese companies. The Beijing-based provider of patented “enhanced oil recovery” processes will report earnings tomorrow morning before the market opens. We’ll get a chance to see if the stock’s 24 percent plunge in value since its IPO has been justified.

Analysts, it seems, worry that the company faces a “glass ceiling” on growth as it competes with larger state-run companies that have friends in high places. Still, if this earnings report does show a surprising spike in growth, it should give investors some hope that SinoTech is the real deal.

The company reported $16.3 million in earnings before interest, tax and adjustments in the nine months ended June 30. All told, SinoTech booked $38 million in sales but posted a loss of $6.3 million during that period, according to the Associated Press. Net income would do wonders for this stock’s price. Guess we’ll just have to wait a few hours before deciding whether or not to pull the trigger.

Healthcare giant Pall Corporation (NYSE:PLL) to set tone for sector

What’s good for Pall Corporation (NYSE:PLL) is good for the health care and water industries writ large. A New York-based provider of filters, separators and purifiers for liquids and gases, Pall serves the manufacturing and health care industries. Analysts are expecting the company to announce earnings of $0.64 per share after the bell today.

That’s well above last quarter’s $0.58 per share, and it comes on the heel’s of some big contracts the company has landed with New Brunswick Scientific, the city of Calexico, California, and, most recently, a big contract with Abu Dhabi Gas Industries Ltd. (GASCO).

Pall Corporation did issue $375 million in senior notes at 5 percent recently (to pay off higher-interest notes due in 2012), and offer guidance in the “low single digits” for the forth quarter. All told, Pall expects EPS of $1.97 for fiscal 2010. Earnings of $0.64 per share this quarter would put them well on the way to hitting $1.97 per share for the year.

The company’s biggest growth of late has been in its “microelectronics” department where revenue jumped 89 percent. Increased global industrial demand is where the real profits are, though, and CEO Eric Krasnoff was confident industrial demand is going to keep growing.

“The expected industrial recovery appears to now be firmly under way,” Krasnoff said in a press release last quarter. Let’s hope he’s right; not just for Pall, but the economy at large.

Will MDS Inc. (NYSE:MDZ) finally be profitable?

After losing more than $750 million over the past year, could this be the quarter that Canadian Biotech company MDS Inc. (NYSE:MDZ) finally turns things around? MDS will report their earnings after the bell today, and analysts are expecting a loss of $0.01 per share (or roughly $670 million).

The company’s been in a reinvention phase after announcing the sale of its Analytical Technologies and Pharma Services businesses in September of 2009. Analysts keep thinking MDS will turn the corner after absorbing costs associated with the sale, but the company still seems mired in lingering costs. Last quarter, analysts expected a loss of $0.06 per share. Instead, MDS reported a loss of $0.51 per share.

“While the Company’s focus is now solely on the MDS Nordion business, as well as Corporate and Other functions, transactions associated with the strategic repositioning continue to have a significant impact on continuing operations,” MDS said in a press release at the time.

Hopefully, last quarter’s big write-off will prove enough to help MDS return to profitability – a state the company hasn’t seen since June 2009.

MDS has gotten some good news in recent months, at least. Atomic Energy of Canada Ltd., which owns and operates the National Research Universal reactor, began shipping isotopes to MDS Nordion in Ottawa last month. MDS processes the isotopes before sending them on to hospitals across the country.

That will re-start a revenue stream for MDS that was shut off for 15 months for cleaning. That’s big news as MDS Nordion leads Canada’s molecular imaging and radiotherapeutics market. Of course, the change won’t be reflected in today’s earnings report, but it’s a big step in the right direction. Re-inventing a company takes time and money, after all. And sometimes it takes a lot longer and costs a lot more than investors would like – particularly when nuclear reactors are involvedd.

Matrix Service Company (MTRX) delays earnings announcement

Is there a glitch in the matrix? Matrix Service Company (NASDAQ:MTRX) has announced they’re delaying their upcoming earnings release. They’ll have until Sept. 28, 2010, to file Form 10-K as they look into “recently discovered alleged fraudulent activities by current and former employees in one operating location in the United States.”

The employees involved have been suspended without pay, and the company is assuring investors that the investigation and alleged fraudulent activities will not have a material impact on the company’s earnings.

“The Company is currently evaluating the information it has obtained regarding the alleged activities, but believes the overall financial impact will not be material,” they wrote in their official press release.

Matrix Service Company’s earning call was previously scheduled for Monday, Sept. 13, 2010. They have not announced when they will reschedule the earnings conference call although it will likely be on or before Sept. 28, 2010. The extension was obtained after Matrix Service filed a Form 12B-25.

Analysts are expecting earnings of $0.13 per share – down 50 percent from last year’s $0.26 per share.

Today’s Top 10 biggest earning surprises

Acorda Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACOR)

A $1.3 billion biopharm company that does research into treatments for neurological problems including multiple sclerosis (MS), ACOR surprised analysts with a much smaller loss than expected. The company burnt through 18 cents a share last quarter versus estimates of a loss of 46 cents per share. The stock was up more than 5 percent at last check on high volume. The company credited demand for AMPYRA as narrowing their loss citing the fact that “4,200 Physicians have Written Prescriptions for AMPYRA as of July 30, 2010.” AMPYRA is designed to improve walking in patients with MS.

Coach, Inc. (NYSE:COH)

Coach offered a nice upside surprise by beating analysts estimates of $0.56 per share. They earned $0.64 cents per share last quarter indicating that demand for high-end products may be growing faster than products targeted at lower-income shoppers. That’s generally a good sign for the economy (but somehow it doesn’t have me convinced).

Lear Corporation (NYSE:LEA)

Lear trounced analyst estimates of $1.29 per share, instead turning in earnings of $2.96, up from a loss nearly as big a year ago. The automotive supplier indicated that they didn’t think this meant next quarter would be a big upside surprise, too. They left their estimates for 2010 net sales of about $11 billion right where it is.

Marathon Oil Corporation (NYSE:MRO)

Marathon’s second-quarter earnings surged 72 percent to $1.11 per share (analysts had expected $0.81). The company cited better oil and gas prices as well better refining margins (i.e. they cut their costs). The markets weren’t too enthusiastic, though. They pushed the stock down a half percent near the start of trading.

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE:RDN)

The giant credit and insurance company Radian got absolutely crushed last quarter. The company’s still absorbing losses from derivatives that have been stagnating on their books. Still, the loss was staggering: $4.31 per share when analysts were expecting a loss of just $0.75. The ray of light? The company reported mortgage insurance delinquencies declined for second consecutive quarter. Maybe housing is getting better?

RTI International Metals, Inc. (NYSE:RTI)

The biggest surprise of the day? RTI’s domination of the titanium market. The company reported net income of $21.6 million, or $0.72 per diluted share, compared with a net loss of $1.3 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, for the same period a year ago. Titanium prices have started a slow climb since April, and it’s finally starting to show in RTI’s earnings.

Solarfun Power Holdings Co., Ltd. (NASDAQ:SOLF)

The markets were most exuberant about Solarfun’s huge quarter. Traders showed their excitement by pushing the stock up more than 10 percent when Solarfun reported that it earned $0.59 per share last quarter. That’s more than double analyst estimates of $0.25 per share. The company’s also not shying away from bold predictions. They boosted their outlook on increased demand and rapidly ramped up manufacturing capacity.







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