It looks like you couldn’t have found much better of an investment than betting against silver this week. The white metal’s fallen 25 percent since the start of the week. According to the San Francisco Chronicle, this could very well end up being the worst week for silver since 1975!
It doesn’t look like things are going to get any better in the short-term either, though. The CME Group, which owns the Comex, announced on Wednesday that it was raising margin requirements yet again. This time to $21,600 as of the close of trading on May 9. That’s more than 80 percent higher than margin requirements just two weeks ago.
When traders are unable to come up with the extra cash to meet their margin calls, their accounts are typically liquidated. That further lowers silver futures prices and potentially triggers more margin calls for other traders.
Where do silver prices go from here?
The fundamental mood of the markets appears to be shifting. Investors grew pessimistic after a report showed an unexpectedly high number of jobless claims. All told 474,000 people applied for benefits last week. That was a jump of 43,000, and it set us back to where we were in August.
The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index also fell to its lowest level since the end of March, according to BusinessDay. Analysts speculate that high gas prices are to blame.
The net result, though, is a growing sense that we’re still a long way from a recovery, and if the global economy begins slowing, the demand for industrial silver could compound the price erosion we’ve already seen.
And yet, I’m still bullish on silver. Here’s why: the inflation story hasn’t changed. In fact, a worsening economy means we’re probably going to see even more reckless policy decisions come out of the Federal Reserve – a fact that will eventually push the dollar lower than the multi-year lows we’ve already seen.
I won’t deny that the plunge in silver prices doesn’t feel like a panic, but it’s important to realize that the run-up over the past two months felt like a mania. Even at $35.50 an ounce, silver’s still trading where it was just two months ago at the beginning of March.
The metal’s 18 percent higher than it was on Jan. 1. Eighteen percent is a price appreciation most mutual fund managers would kill to have over the course of a year. So long as the price of the white metal can hold above $30 an ounce, I’d look at this a temporary blip in a longer-term trend that’s pointing up.
Yes, some of the richest investors in the world – Carlos Slim, George Soros and Eric Sprott, for example – might be selling off chunks of their silver holdings, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they move back into the space in the days, weeks or months to come. After all, there aren’t many other good places to hide in the face of inflation. Until we see more fiscal responsibility out of Washington or a pronounced improvement in the U.S. economy, that’s one story that isn’t going to change.
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Not everyone’s ready to toss their silver positions overboard, though. Silver bulls still have lots of compelling arguments for a continued rally in prices. Here are five reasons to invest in silver now:




It all comes down to cash, of course, and American Apparel has gotten very good at losing it. During the company’s Q4 earnings report out Friday, APP reported a loss of $19.3 million ($0.27 per share). A year ago, they actually made $3 million during the same quarter. 





1) The high cost of gold. At $1,430 per ounce, the cost of gold jewelry is moving out of reach for low-income Indians. “Silver has emerged as a fashion statement as many people find difficult and unrealistic to buy gold jewelry at these high prices,” John Luckose, the owner of a small gold and silver shop in Kochi, tells CommodityOnline.


Dennis Wheeler: Coeur d’Alene Mines Corporation’s (NYSE:CDE) CEO “would not be surprised” if gold prices rose to $1,500-$1,600 an ounce in 2011 (


Investors have shown a preference for precious metals as a safe haven in the face of turmoil in the MENA region and the devastation in Japan. Traditionally, the dollar has served as a refuge of last resort, but analysts argue that the Fed’s quantitative easing program has encouraged investors to look elsewhere.
Traditionally, the gold standard worked by fixing the value of the dollar to a set amount of gold. Consumers bearing dollars could visit a local bank and exchange their dollars for bullion at an exchange rate determined by the government.

Not everyone’s convinced, though. In an interview with the 




1) Leader of the pack. Xstrata has “the greatest growth upside” of any of the large-cap miners, according to analysts at Credit Suisse. Copper and coal volumes are expected to surge at an average of 50 percent over the next five years Barron’s reports. That’s good news as prices for both commodities have surged toward record levels this year. Xstrata’s also got significant nickel, zinc and alloy deposits including primary vanadium and platinum group metals. As a bonus, the company provides technology services for large-cap miners including Anglo Platinum Limited (PINK:AGPPY) and Goldcorp Inc. (NYSE:GG). 
Avalon has long looked under-valued, particularly after news broke that the company had increased its indicated resources at its flagship Nechalacho or Thor Lake mine last month. “We think that the market is not anywhere close to where the valuation of the mine should be,” Mackie Research analyst Matt Gowing told Reuters. Mackie set a price target of C$10.50 on the stock.













