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Archive for November, 2010

Life Lessons: How to make more money

Of the 13,480 individuals and families who made more than $10 million a year in the U.S. in 2008, only 19 percent of the income they brought in came from wages and salaries.* Therein lies the key to generating wealth; namely that the rich don’t “work” to make money. They put money to work for them.

Robert Kiyosaki talks about this concept a lot in his book Rich Dad, Poor Dad, and it fundamentally changed the way I approach my finances. The idea is that by putting your money into ventures or assets that generate money for you, you can exponentially increase your earnings power and grow your income while actually cutting down on the amount of time you spend working.

One area where Kiyosaki’s often vague is how exactly a person is supposed to do such a thing. He mentions buying real estate, buying car washes, buying storage units or trailer parks for rental, etc., but that’s not all that helpful for most people who are already in debt and looking for a way out.

My answer? Dividend stocks. In particular, I like REITs or Real Estate Investment Trusts. REITs are basically collections of investors who pool their capital to buy income-generating real estate such as apartment complexes or shopping malls, then share the profits with all the investors. Best of all: REITs are required by law to pay out 90 percent of their net income as dividends to shareholders. That can add up to a lot of cash with some REITs paying out nearly 20 percent a year.

Think about that, if you could somehow get $250,000 invested in a portfolio of dividend paying stocks that shell out 20 percent per year, you could be making $40,000 each and every calendar year (before taxes) without lifting a finger!

That’s the key to building wealth, and the sooner you get started, the sooner you’ll be on your way, even if you can only contribute $25 per month! At that rate, you’d be putting in a mere $300 a year, but you’d still hit $250,000 in 26 years if you could compound your rate 4 times a year (when you receive your dividends) and keep plugging away with your $25 a week contribution at 20 percent interest.

*Source: Wealth, Income, and Power by G. William Domhoff.

Analysts call for $50 silver in next “two to three years”

The high gold-silver ratio that peaked in November of 2008 has been gradually eroding over the past two years. That’s been a big boon for silver bulls, and many expect the trend to remain intact throughout 2011. At least one analyst is calling for $30 silver next year, and $50 silver in the next 2-3 years.

“Silver is in effect playing catch up with gold,” writes the International Business Times. “It remains undervalued versus gold on a historical basis. The gold/silver ratio remains favourable to silver at 50.25 ($1,367/oz divided by $27.20/oz) and the ratio is falling.”

The article points out that the average gold-silver ratio over the past 100 years has been somewhere around 45:1, but that its fallen as low as 15:1 during extreme price movements. Given the high cost of gold, I expect silver to look more attractive to both institutional investors and individual investors who want to hedge against inflation without going all in with gold.

Related

Investors pessimistic on Trina Solar (TSL) earnings announcement

Trina Solar Limited (NYSE:TSL) is expected to announce earnings at 8 a.m. on Nov. 30, 2010, and analysts expect earnings of $0.87 per share. On paper, that looks like its down substantially from the $1.29 per share the company earned a year earlier, but we’ve got to remember TSL underwent a 2:1 stock split in January.

It should be sunny skies ahead, but Schaeffer’s Daily Option Blog points out that put traders are loading up on bearish bets ahead of Trina’s earnings report. “The Schaeffer’s put/call open interest ratio for TSL comes in at 1.65, as put open interest outnumbers call open interest among options slated to expire in less than three months.”

Investors have only been more negative towards the stock 2 percent of the time in the past year of trading. That’s not a good sign (unless, of course, you’re a contrarian investor). Presumably, the threat of debt problems in Europe and increased tension in Korea are putting pressure on Asian stocks, but given Trina’s record of beating the street, I’m not sure I’d be willing to throw in the towel just yet. The proof will be in the pudding come Tuesday morning.

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Buying opportunity with Syswin Inc. (SYSW)?

I just pulled the trigger on a buy order for SYSWIN, Inc. (NYSE:SYSW) at $6.05. I expect a decent bump on Monday once trading volumes head back to normal levels after a shortened trading week. Syswin’s IPO seems to have slipped under the radar for most investors as it came in far below initial pricing projections between $9.25 and $11.25. A climb back up to the low end of that range (just over $9) would be a 50 percent gain in SYSW. Seems too tempting to pass up in the short-term, even if you think the real estate market in China is due for a tumble.

Syswin and investors combined to offer 12 million ADRs, each of which are worth four shares in the real estate company. On its first day of trading (Nov. 24, 2010), shares tumbled 12 percent. In 2010, Syswin reported a 53% gain in net revenue to $64.5 million in the first nine months of the year from a year earlier as earnings rose 46% to $19.8 million, according to Dow Jones Newswires.

Related

Should you buy stock in SouFun Holdings (NYSE:SFUN)?
Is Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock a buy?
How to buy stock on SecondMarket
Post QE2: Where do gold and silver go from here?
How to short gold

Facebook IPO has investors panting

While it’s probably 1 to 2 years off, the investing world is salivating for a Facebook IPO. And with good reason. The site just surpassed eBay to become the third most valuable tech company in the U.S., according to SecondMarket.com – a marketplace where investors can buy and sell stock in private companies.

SecondMarket estimates Facebook’s worth at around $41 billion. That’s slightly more than eBay’s (NASDAQ:EBAY) $39.3 billion valuation on the NASDAQ, and it trails only Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Google (NASDAQ:GOOG). All told, Facebook is expected to generate some $1.4 billion in advertising revenue this year. The company also makes money through the purchase of game credits, and that’s where CEO Mark Zuckerberg sees something different in the company’s future.

“In gaming we get some percentage of the value of those companies, largely through their transactions through buying ads and credits right now, but that’s all because we’re helping them,” Zuckerberg said recently in an interview. “And, if we’re helpful to other industries in building out what would be a good solution for e-commerce or something like that, then I think there will be some way to get value from that.”

The company isn’t fixated on advertising as its sole revenue model. It’s just ancillary to the goal of making the Web a more social place. If the company can figure out new ways to profit off online socialization, it could alter the very landscape of the tech world. And investors seem confident that if any company could do such a thing, Facebook just might be that company.

The value of Facebook on New York-based SecondMarket has more than tripled in the past year, according to the San Francisco Chronicle.

Based on your interests

Should you buy stock in SouFun Holdings (NYSE:SFUN)?
How to buy stock on SecondMarket
Is Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock a buy?

Should you buy stock in SouFun Holdings (NYSE:SFUN)?

A flashy Internet property in a sexy market, investors probably weren’t expecting SouFun Holdings (NYSE:SFUN) to do quite so well during its IPO on the New York Stock Exchange. Indeed, shares in the company had been priced at $42.50 and promptly rocketed up to $75.50 by the end of the day – a gain of more than 70 percent.

American Depositary shares in the company have been on something of a roller coaster ride since then, bottoming on Sept. 29 at $61, then screaming up to $94 on Nov. 11 in the wake of its first earnings report.

That earnings report released on Nov. 10 showed the company’s net income attributable to shareholders actually falling after a big tax benefit last year, but the Web-based real estate site showed the cash generation machine was working overtime. Total revenues were $57.4 million, an increase of 83.4% compared to $31.3 million in the same period in 2009.

Now, investors are presented with a problem: how much longer can the real estate market keep climbing in China? Even if it slows, will SouFun continue to grow its earnings on the strength of a growing Internet user base?

Real estate prices have been climbing at a rate of just under 10 percent per year in China according to the most recently available public data. We all know that’s got the Chinese government worried, and they’re raising interest rates slowly in an effort to curb inflation. That’s got some investors worried that a real estate crash in China could be lurking in the shadows.

At the moment, though, it shows no sign of slowing, and China’s explosion in Internet use is even more exciting. The country’s been adding about 6 million new Internet users every month, and its rapidly surpassed the U.S. as the world’s largest Internet market. China had an estimated 420 million Internet users at the end of June, according to Bloomberg.

As for SouFun itself, the company was getting 40 million unique visitors a month last year. That would be enough to put it alongside the Top 25 U.S. Web properties with sites like Weather.com getting about 40 million U.S. visitors a month or MySpace.com, which gets about 39 million U.S. visitors a month.

Disclaimer: I currently hold shares in SouFun.

Is Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock a buy?

Think fast: what’s the one stock that more people are shorting than any other in the Russell 1000 right now?

That would be Tesla Motors (NASDAQ:TSLA). At the moment, some 64 percent of the stock’s public float is sold short. That’s a remarkably high number considering that the next most shorted stock, Alliance Data Systems Corp. (NYSE:ADS), has 36 percent of its public float sold short.

A few authors are speculating that the dramatic short interest comes from GM’s IPO, which drummed up about as much press as the new Harry Potter film – maybe even more if that’s possible. Now that the Chevy Volt is officially on the horizon, people seem to be looking at Tesla in their rear-view mirrors.

I’m not convinced that’s smart, and here are three reasons why:

1) Tesla’s leadership. Tesla’s chairman and CEO is young and entrepreneurial. Elon Musk doesn’t come with preconceived notions about how the car industry is supposed to work. That could be a good thing or a bad thing depending on your point of view. One thing we do know, though, is his company surprised the hell out of GM and Toyota when it started using lithium-ion batteries in working cars. GM exec Robert Lutz said in 2007 that the Tesla Roadster was one of the main inspirations for the Chevy Volt.

“All the geniuses here at General Motors kept saying lithium-ion technology is 10 years away, and Toyota agreed with us – and boom, along comes Tesla,” Lutz says. “So I said, ‘How come some tiny little California startup, run by guys who know nothing about the car business, can do this, and we can’t?’ That was the crowbar that helped break up the log jam.”

2) Tesla’s partnerships. The company is cultivating relationships with Daimler and Toyota. Tesla has partnered with Toyota to manufacture a drivetrain and battery pack for Toyota’s all-electric RAV4 SUV. The car will have a range of 100 miles, and it’s expected to be on the road by 2012. The nice part is, it’ll start generating cash for Tesla right away. The company’s also producing battery packs for Daimler’s electric smart car. Again, that’s money in the bank.

3) Tesla’s Model S. The base model of Tesla’s all-electric family sedan, the Model S, should start hitting roads in 2012. On the low-end, the car is expected to retail for just under $50,000 if the consumer takes advantage of a $7,500 federal tax credit. The car will come with three different battery options – one of which will be capable of powering the Model S for up to 300 miles on a single charge. That’s 10 times what the Chevy Volt will do on a charge, and you’ll never have to use gas again.

Tesla’s making the cars of the future today. Even if GM catches up, it’s going to take some time, and that’ll make Tesla brand perfect for partnerships (possibly even a takeover) for years to come. Yes, they’re a long way from profitability, but it’s coming, and I have a feeling Tesla will make a lot of people rich on its journey.

How to buy stock on SecondMarket

SecondMarket is an online marketplace for buying and selling illiquid assets. That means you can go there to buy stock in private companies, buy bankruptcy claims and/or buy mortgage-backed securities among other illiquid assets.

I walked through the account set-up process on SecondMarket. It was just a matter of typing in my name, contact information, email address, etc., then I followed the emailed account activation link, and tried to log into my brand new account to see what they had for sale. Unfortunately, the first question you’re asked upon login is whether or not you’re an Accredited Investor or a Qualified Purchaser.

I selected “no,” and was blocked from site access with the following message:

“We apologize for the inconvenience, but access to this market is restricted to accredited users.

“Only participants who are at least Accredited Investors will be permitted access to see assets for sale. If you are unsure if you meet this requirement, please visit the SEC’s website. If you do meet these requirements and forgot to check the appropriate box on the sign-up form, please contact our Market Services department at 212.668.5920.”

What is an Accredited Investor or a Qualified Purchaser?

In a word, an accredited investor or qualified purchaser is someone with a lot of cash or who controls a lot of cash. Here are the specific definitions:

An accredited investor is any of the following:

  • A person with a net worth or joint net worth of greater than $1 million
  • A person with individual income of $200,000 per year over the past two years or joint income of $300,000+
  • A bank, savings and loan association, broker or dealer, etc.

A qualified investor is any of the following:

  • A person or company that owns more than $5 million in investments
  • A person who invests more than $25 million for himself or herself or on behalf of someone else

More detailed definitions appear here, and, in essence, the tier you occupy appears to dictate which securities you’ll be able to see for purchase.

Several high-profile private tech stocks have traded or do trade on SecondMarket including Facebook, Tesla, Zynga and Twitter. Unfortunately, you’ve got to have a lot of money to get in on the action.

How to invest in rhodium stocks

One of the rarest precious metals on the planet, rhodium is also one of the trickiest metals to invest in – particularly since most of the rhodium that’s mined comes from politically sensitive areas. Indeed, more than 60 percent of the fresh rhodium supply comes from South Africa.

Political instability in South Africa briefly pushed rhodium prices over $10,000 per ounce in 2008. That was a precipitated by a large decline in the metal’s value as cost-cutting measures by automakers and a global economic slowdown dramatically stalled demand.

At one point, rhodium fell to less than $1,500 per ounce. Since then, the metal’s climbed slowly back over $2,300 per ounce, and it’s beginning to get looks from investors and miners again.

What are the best rhodium stocks

Since rhodium is a by-product of mining for other metals, it’s impossible to find a pure rhodium play, but there are several stocks with exposure to the metal. Here’s a good place to do jumping off for further research if you’re looking for rhodium stocks:

  • Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE:SWC)
  • North American Palladium Ltd. (AMEX:PAL)
  • Anglo American plc (PINK:AAUKY)
  • Kria Resources Ltd. (CVE:KIA)
  • Premium Exploration, Inc. (CVE:PEM)

Anvil Mining (AVM) up 86 percent in three months


[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

Helped by soaring copper prices, Anvil Mining Limited (TSE:AVM) announced net income of $6.1 million for the third quarter. That’s not bad for a company that lost $200,000 during the same period last year. Shares in Anvil have soared 86 percent in the past three months largely on back of a big spike in the price of copper. Copper’s up roughly 20 percent over the past three months on lower inventories and higher demand from China.

New inflationary pressure from the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing program could buoy the price of copper even as China works to slow growth in its own economy.

Shares in Anvil aren’t entirely without legal risks, though. Earlier this month, Congolese citizens moved to file a class-action lawsuit against Anvil Mining, the Winnipeg Free Press reports. Citizens allege that Anvil played a key role in a 2004 massacre in their country. The company claims it was acting on orders from authorities, and it’s unclear where the case will end up.







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